IDC raises converged device sales forecast


IDC raises converged device sales forecast

Alex Scroxton

Analysts at IDC have raised their global sales forecast for the converged mobile device market by 10% amid greater than expected demand for smartphone devices.

The number-crunchers now expect the worldwide market to grow 55.4% over 2009, with 269.6 million converged devices shipping. The overall mobile phone market will grow 14.1% year-on-year, reversing a 2.9% decline in 2009.

"The smartphone is the catalyst behind the rebound in the worldwide mobile phone market," said IDC senior research analyst Kevin Restivo.

"Additional product introductions [such as the iPhone 4] and an expected flurry of smartphone buying activity in the second half of the year will push the market well above previous expectations."

The outlook for 2011 is also strong, IDC said, with smartphone adoption showing no signs of let-up despite ongoing economic uncertainty.

Through to 2014, IDC now predicts that Nokia's Symbian platform will dominate the market but will lose share to Android.

Windows Mobile is also expected to regain some of the share lost in recent years, while BlackBerry's share will remain static and Apple's iOS will actually decline slightly.

Currently Symbian devices account for 40.1% of the market, with BlackBerry placed second with 17.9%. Android has a global market share of 16.3%, ahead of iOS at 14.7%.

"Android is the wild card, deserving close observation," said senior research analyst Ramon Llamas.

"Now that HTC and Motorola have leapt out in front with their own respective devices, other vendors such as Dell, Kyocera, LG Electronics and Samsung will soon help grow the Android market."

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